Several factors could work against Nigeria even if FIFA rules on the eligibility concerns raised.
Complexity of FIFA Eligibility Rules
FIFA nationality regulations are often more nuanced than domestic citizenship laws. Even if DR Congo’s constitution discourages dual citizenship, FIFA decisions are typically based on documented approval of nationality switches, not solely on local legal interpretations. If FIFA has already ratified Aaron Wan-Bissaka’s switch or deemed the players eligible, Nigeria’s case may fall short.
Burden of Proof
Nigeria must provide conclusive and verifiable evidence that the nationality switch processes were incomplete or violated FIFA statutes. Allegations alone—without official confirmation from FIFA records—may not meet the threshold required to overturn match results or disqualify a team.
Possible Sanctions May Not Favor Nigeria
Even if FIFA finds procedural irregularities, sanctions do not always translate into points being awarded to another team. FIFA could opt for fines, warnings, or future restrictions rather than disqualification, which would leave Nigeria’s qualification hopes unchanged.
Precedent Does Not Guarantee Outcome
Although Nigeria previously benefited from a ruling against South Africa, each case is judged independently. Past success at FIFA’s judicial bodies does not guarantee a similar outcome, especially when eligibility documentation may already be on file and approved.
On-Pitch Performance Still Matters
Critics also point out that Nigeria’s qualification challenge stems largely from missed opportunities on the pitch. Dropped points during the group stage reduced the Super Eagles’ margin for error, making off-field rulings their primary hope rather than match results.
Political and Sporting Sensitivities
Disqualifying a major football nation like DR Congo carries significant sporting and political implications. FIFA traditionally exercises caution in decisions that could destabilize competitions unless violations are clear and undeniable.
As the football community awaits FIFA’s verdict, optimism remains guarded among Nigerian fans. While the petition keeps hope alive, experts warn that the Super Eagles’ path to victory may still be blocked—regardless of the ruling.
For now, Nigeria waits, knowing that legal battles rarely replace goals scored on the pitch.